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Såg Johannes sig som en av de två Messias? Vad kan vi veta om den historiske Johannes döparen?

Kan vi veta något om den historiske Johannes genom att läsa evangelierna och kan det vara så att han såg sig som en av de två messias som vi möter i texter från den hebreiska bibeln och i dödahavsrullarna? I evangelierna framställs Jesus som messiaspretendenten och Johannes alltid bara som hans förelöpare. Båda har kopplingar till profettraditionen och även till annan symbolik i den hebreiska bibe

Hur datadrivna analysmetoder kan förbättra aktieurvalet för investerare

Detta arbete har ägnat särskild uppmärksamhet åt aktieurval för investerare och hur olika datadrivna analysmetoder kan användas för att förbättra kortsiktig handel. Uppsatsen inleder med att understryka betydelsen av välgrundade investeringsbeslut och presenterar den finansiella marknaden som en komplex och dynamisk miljö där både traditionella och moderna analysmetoder spelar en central roll. SThis thesis has devoted particular attention to stock selection for investors and how various data-driven analytical methods can be used to improve short-term trading. The paper begins by emphasizing the importance of well-founded investment decisions and presents the financial market as a complex and dynamic environment in which both traditional and modern analytical methods play a central role.

An Empirical Study of the North American Volatility Impact on Eurozone Bond Market

This study examines how financial market uncertainty in North America, measured by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), affects Eurozone bond markets. The purpose is to analyze the dynamic relationship between the VIX to both government and corporate bonds across different credit ratings, and to assess whether these relationships differ when the bonds are measured as yield-to-maturity (YTM) or option-

Aktiv och passiv fondförvaltning under handelspolitiska kriser

Denna uppsats undersöker huruvida aktivt förvaltade aktiefonder uppvisar högre riskjusterad avkastning än passiva indexfonder under perioder av ökad marknadsoro orsakad av handelspolitiska chocker. Analysen fokuserar på två distinkta perioder av tullrelaterad osäkerhet: handelskonflikten mellan USA och Kina under 2018–2019 samt den nya tullvågen under 2024–2025. Studien baseras på veckovisa paneld

Markup Dynamics and Inflation: An Empirical Analysis of Sweden's Largest Firms During the COVID-19 Crisis

This thesis examines the evolution of markups among the largest publicly listed firms in Sweden, represented by the OMXS30 index, during the period surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic from 2018 to 2024. The study assesses whether changes in firms’ pricing power contributed to Sweden’s inflationary and subsequent disinflationary dynamics. Using a microeconomic production function approach developed b

Gör ekonomisk tillväxt oss friskare?

The purpose of this study is to investigate whether there is a relationship between health and economic growth. Specifically, the study examines whether economic growth affects three selected health variables in a positive or negative way. Data from 38 OECD nations between 2000 to 2020 are used in a panel data regression with fixed effects to evaluate this. Three equations are formulated to analyz

Exit Timing and Exit Conditions in Nordic Private Equity: A quantitative analysis of IPO and SBO exits between 2005-2025.

Private equity returns are ultimately realized through the exit of portfolio companies, making exit timing and exit routes central to the investment process. This thesis examines which factors are associated with exit timing and how macroeconomic conditions differ across exit routes for private equity investments in the Nordic region. Using a hand-collected dataset of 176 IPO and SBO exits between

Ekonomisk tillväxt i mötet mellan Kina och Afrika

This thesis examines how Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) affects economic growth in Africa. Over the past two decades, China’s economic engagement in Africa has increased substantially, yet there is no clear consensus in the literature regarding the growth effects of these investments. The aim of this study is therefore to assess whether Chinese FDI is associated with economic growth in Af

Rättsstatens betydelse för entreprenörskap: En Panelstudie av låg- och lägre medelinkomstländer

Weak institutions and crime represent central obstacles to economic growth in many low- and lower-middle-income countries. At the same time, entrepreneurship plays a crucial role in economic growth, welfare and employment, while being particularly sensitive to a lack of legal certainty. The aim of this study is to analyze how crime and institutional quality affect entrepreneurship in low- and lowe

When Trade Wars Spill Over: Do Trump’s Tariffs on China Affect the European Union?

Renewed geopolitical tensions and rising protectionism have once again placed tariffs at the center of international trade policy. Following Donald Trump’s return to the White House in 2025, substantially higher tariffs were reimposed on Chinese imports, raising concerns about global spillover effects beyond bilateral U.S.-China trade. In particular, European policymakers have expressed concern th

EU Enlargement and Regional Trade Effects: How have Western Balkan exports been affected by the Croatian EU membership?

This thesis examines the effects of European Union integration on exports, focusing on the most recent EU enlargement involving Croatia. In addition to assessing the direct impact of EU accession on Croatian exports to the EU, the study investigates potential spillover effects on exports from the Western Balkan Six (WB6) countries relative to a control group. The empirical strategy combines fixed-

Ekonomiska faktorer och fertilitetsutvecklingen i Europa

This thesis examines the relationship between economic factors and fertility in European high-income countries over the period 1990–2023. Despite high living standards and well-developed welfare systems, fertility rates in many European countries have remained persistently below the replacement level. Raising questions about the relevance of traditional economic explanations. Using country-level p

The Influence of Trump’s Social Media Sentiment on Bitcoin Price Returns

This thesis examines the impact of Donald Trump’s social media sentiment on Bitcoin price returns, comparing two periods with distinct political con- texts: during his presidency in 2019 and his re-election campaign in 2024. Employing VADER, a sentiment analysis tool optimized for short social me- dia texts, the study analyzes the sentiment of Trump’s tweets and Truth Social posts. Using OLS regre

Hur estimeras riktkurser av analytikerna? Analys av estimerade aktiepriser på Stockholmsbörsen från år 2000 – 2024 med maskininlärningsmodellen Random Forest

Stock analysts have a great influence on how investors choose to invest their money and which companies that will receive a share of the ever-growing amount of money that Swedish households choose to invest in stocks. With the influence that analysts have on the company inflows and outflows of capital, one can wonder what drives their target prices. This report analyzes which financial variabl

Homeownership and Age-Dependent Contributions Within a Funded Defined Contribution Pension Plan

This thesis analyzes how the timing of mandatory pension contributions affects life-cycle consumption, portfolio choice, and housing decisions. A quantitative life-cycle model calibrated to the Swedish pension system is developed, in which individuals face uncertain labor income, mortality risk, and stochastic returns on financial and housing assets. Utility is derived from both non-durable consum

Empires in Trade: Colonial Legacies in France, the United Kingdom, and Their Former Colonies

The purpose of this thesis is to analyse to what extent colonial trade patterns persist in former British and French colonies in Southeast Asia and West Africa, and how these effects differ between colonial powers and regions. The study combines a historic perspective combined with an empirical analysis of bilateral trade flows between France, the United Kingdom, and their former colonies over the

Från insatspris till konsumentpris - En empirisk analys av pristransmission i den svenska livsmedelskedjan under perioden 2015-2024.

Recent increases in Swedish food prices have raised concerns about how input cost changes are transmitted to consumers. This study examines the extent and timing of price transmission in the Swedish food sector and whether the relationship changed after 2020, a period characterized by major macroeconomic and supply-chain shocks. Using monthly data for 2015-2024, we estimate first-differences panel

ESG performance and firm-level risk

This thesis examines the relationship between Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance and firm-level risk among publicly listed companies in the Nordic countries. While prior research suggests that ESG may reduce firm risk, evidence for the Nordic region remains limited despite its high sustainability standards. Using panel data on 380 firms from Sweden, Denmark, Norway, and Finlan

Indirect Trade Effects on Third Countries: Evidence from Japan Following the EU-South Korea Free Trade Agreement

This paper examines whether the EU-South Korea Free Trade Agreement is associated with indirect effects on third-country exports, with a particular focus on Japan. The analysis uses annual bilateral EU-15 import data over the period 2005-2018 and compares post-2011 import patterns from South Korea and Japan to those from a common group of exporters not directly affected by the agreement. The empir

Clinical Trials and Stock Return Volatility

Clinical trials represent events that drive volatility in the biopharmaceutical sector through their binary characteristics, creating unique challenges for risk assessment. The study examines what factors drive stock return volatility for the top 25 US-listed biopharma companies around the release of clinical trial results. Analyzing 3380 clinical trial events between 2010-2020, this study employs